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Red100
6695128.0
638296.2
812109.0
Blue338
5199118.3
624170.6
6755100.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283250100200400500600100338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6695
#23
128.02.1
125.9128.0
Auto20.6
Teleop97.2
End9.4
blue by 42.6
624
#12
170.61.0
168.1169.1
Auto20.6
Teleop129.3
End19.3
Second
812
#62
109.00.2
108.8109.0
Auto16.2
Teleop90.1
End-0.8
blue by 9.3
5199
#52
118.31.3
117.0118.3
Auto15.8
Teleop86.5
End15.8
Third
6382
#44
96.22.7
98.896.2
Auto13.4
Teleop77.0
End1.9
blue by 4.0
6755
#36
100.22.1
98.0100.2
Auto16.1
Teleop78.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed