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Red383
2839153.5
4984143.9
6995106.6
Blue279
3473128.6
6659111.3
2984132.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340291100200400500600383279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.57.5
142.5150.0
Auto21.2
Teleop102.0
End36.5
red by 20.8
2984
#13
132.75.1
122.7127.8
Auto18.4
Teleop102.6
End13.5
Second
143.93.5
138.3141.8
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End24.0
red by 15.3
3473
#15
128.61.3
127.3128.6
Auto17.8
Teleop100.8
End9.5
Third
6995
#39
106.62.8
103.8106.6
Auto14.2
Teleop82.2
End12.4
blue by 4.7
6659
#22
111.33.6
107.7111.3
Auto14.3
Teleop89.1
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed