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Red281
2102143.3
1972120.3
5514107.0
Blue370
1661102.6
370493.0
3021132.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301248100200400500281370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#37
143.34.0
131.1135.1
Auto19.9
Teleop105.1
End21.5
red by 10.8
3021
#25
132.51.2
129.6130.8
Auto14.9
Teleop102.1
End17.5
Second
1972
#27
120.30.9
119.4120.3
Auto14.9
Teleop88.3
End19.9
red by 17.7
1661
#50
102.61.1
103.7102.6
Auto15.2
Teleop83.8
End5.3
Third
5514
#63
107.01.2
108.2107.0
Auto13.5
Teleop83.2
End9.5
red by 14.0
3704
#65
93.00.2
93.393.0
Auto13.3
Teleop74.6
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed