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Quarterfinal 3-22018 San Francisco Regional
Red402
2383163.6
604159.9
100132.4
Blue186
2854117.6
4159131.2
5104139.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385232100200300500600402186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#11
163.60.5
161.0→161.6
Auto19.7
Teleop127.7
End15.4
red by 24.4
5104
#14
139.20.4
138.9→139.2
Auto17.1
Teleop108.6
End16.0
Second
604
#2
159.90.7
156.5→157.3
Auto17.0
Teleop127.0
End13.5
red by 28.7
4159
#9
131.20.0
131.2→131.2
Auto17.4
Teleop103.8
End8.3
Third
100
#28
132.40.0
132.3→132.3
Auto16.7
Teleop96.6
End19.1
red by 14.8
2854
#34
117.60.1
117.6→117.6
Auto14.7
Teleop96.1
End6.9