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Red294
4186124.4
6814102.9
971179.0
Blue240
6036134.8
4669111.4
6962116.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312340100200300400500600700294240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#4
179.06.4
146.0152.4
Auto24.1
Teleop126.7
End28.0
red by 44.2
6036
#17Sur
134.87.4
105.4112.7
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End14.6
Second
4186
#37Sur
124.46.5
104.3110.9
Auto15.1
Teleop95.4
End13.1
red by 7.5
6962
#26
116.85.7
89.995.6
Auto14.1
Teleop89.9
End13.8
Third
6814
#35
102.96.5
88.194.7
Auto14.3
Teleop76.5
End8.5
blue by 8.4
4669
#43
111.44.9
99.8104.8
Auto14.9
Teleop83.6
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed