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Red223
2551138.5
5430101.2
6814102.9
Blue305
4159131.2
5026145.6
2489127.3
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1943730100300500600223305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#22
138.54.2
129.5133.7
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End12.0
blue by 7.1
145.65.7
129.1134.8
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
Second
6814
#35
102.91.1
100.6101.7
Auto14.3
Teleop76.5
End8.5
blue by 28.2
131.23.0
124.8127.8
Auto17.4
Teleop103.8
End8.3
Third
5430
#40
101.20.7
97.798.4
Auto12.9
Teleop83.0
End5.8
blue by 26.1
127.33.3
123.0126.2
Auto14.3
Teleop96.5
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed