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Red232
6665113.8
2551138.5
6662114.4
Blue352
581122.1
6036134.8
604159.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264355100200300400500600232352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#22
138.53.1
133.7136.8
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End12.0
blue by 21.4
604
#2
159.93.8
151.8155.6
Auto17.0
Teleop127.0
End13.5
Second
6662
#32
114.41.3
115.8114.4
Auto16.9
Teleop85.9
End11.1
blue by 20.4
6036
#17
134.81.6
129.6131.2
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End14.6
Third
6665
#39
113.80.1
114.0114.1
Auto13.9
Teleop89.7
End11.9
blue by 8.3
581
#29
122.10.9
120.3121.2
Auto15.2
Teleop94.1
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed