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Qual 692018 San Francisco Regional
Red167
4159131.2
766108.5
6415143.1
Blue311
5507143.3
649155.4
5419118.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292328100200400500600167311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6415
#23
143.10.9
142.2→143.1
Auto16.5
Teleop116.7
End8.8
blue by 12.3
649
#6
155.40.3
156.1→155.8
Auto21.2
Teleop117.9
End12.0
Second
4159
#9
131.22.2
129.0→131.2
Auto17.4
Teleop103.8
End8.3
blue by 12.2
5507
#13
143.32.8
138.1→140.8
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End15.2
Third
766
#41
108.51.0
107.5→108.5
Auto13.9
Teleop87.6
End5.4
blue by 10.3
5419
#15
118.83.0
115.8→118.8
Auto15.9
Teleop89.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed