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Qual 72018 San Francisco Regional
Red231
2489127.3
6718114.0
6036134.8
Blue165
7317112.5
3880131.1
5104139.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254294100200400500231165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#17
134.815.6
78.1→93.7
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End14.6
blue by 4.4
5104
#14
139.214.6
86.9→101.5
Auto17.1
Teleop108.6
End16.0
Second
2489
#7
127.316.6
69.0→85.6
Auto14.3
Teleop96.5
End17.4
blue by 3.8
3880
#10
131.115.3
80.8→96.1
Auto16.7
Teleop100.1
End18.1
Third
6718
#16
114.018.6
51.7→70.3
Auto16.1
Teleop86.5
End10.7
red by 1.5
7317
#33
112.541.0
118.7→77.7
Auto15.2
Teleop91.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed