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Red499
973186.6
254244.8
2367118.0
Blue99
668150.4
4904149.1
3132146.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46827610020040050060070080049999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
244.80.8
241.2242.0
Auto28.4
Teleop167.9
End52.0
red by 94.4
668
#11
150.40.3
150.1150.4
Auto24.4
Teleop115.3
End11.3
Second
973
#20
186.60.2
187.3187.1
Auto27.9
Teleop130.0
End27.7
red by 37.6
149.10.2
148.8149.1
Auto18.7
Teleop114.4
End14.5
Third
2367
#43
118.00.3
116.5116.8
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End11.4
blue by 28.6
3132
#39
146.60.0
146.6146.6
Auto19.4
Teleop95.5
End34.3