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Red525
846171.2
971199.5
4159136.9
Blue293
5924132.2
670169.3
2144166.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395318100200500600700525293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
199.50.5
196.7197.2
Auto25.1
Teleop142.6
End33.4
red by 30.2
670
#7
169.30.6
168.1168.7
Auto23.2
Teleop125.2
End22.3
Second
846
#9
171.20.4
168.9169.4
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End12.4
red by 5.2
2144
#16
166.00.2
165.6165.8
Auto21.5
Teleop120.2
End22.9
Third
4159
#25
136.90.4
134.6135.0
Auto17.8
Teleop108.3
End13.5
red by 4.7
5924
#10
132.20.6
131.0131.6
Auto16.9
Teleop101.4
End16.3