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Qual 162018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red249
1967116.0
841109.7
383155.5
Blue231
846171.2
3132146.6
3482138.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723760100200500600700249231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#4
155.53.3
144.6→147.9
Auto20.6
Teleop118.3
End16.2
blue by 15.7
846
#9
171.22.2
161.9→164.1
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End12.4
Second
1967
#32
116.08.7
94.5→103.2
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End14.3
blue by 30.7
3132
#39
146.61.3
143.7→145.0
Auto19.4
Teleop95.5
End34.3
Third
841
#55
109.71.7
109.1→110.7
Auto16.0
Teleop88.3
End5.7
blue by 28.8
3482
#29
138.51.2
130.5→131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop109.4
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed