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Red290
8161.6
6303106.3
2035121.4
Blue325
4186116.5
2135141.0
6418162.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318308200250350400450290325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#17
161.62.4
152.0154.4
Auto23.4
Teleop126.7
End12.3
blue by 1.1
162.71.4
149.0150.4
Auto21.1
Teleop120.3
End20.3
Second
2035
#19
121.40.7
123.2122.5
Auto18.4
Teleop94.9
End8.3
blue by 19.7
2135
#13
141.02.1
132.0134.1
Auto20.4
Teleop98.3
End21.9
Third
6303
#47
106.31.1
104.2105.3
Auto16.4
Teleop83.6
End9.3
blue by 10.1
4186
#36
116.51.2
120.6119.4
Auto15.6
Teleop87.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed