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Qual 322018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red166
256101.3
751123.7
5499160.6
Blue390
5924132.2
4973114.6
971199.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783300100200400500600700166390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#5
160.61.6
152.0→153.5
Auto22.3
Teleop120.7
End16.8
blue by 38.9
971
#2
199.51.7
184.0→185.7
Auto25.1
Teleop142.6
End33.4
Second
751
#22
123.70.1
122.2→122.4
Auto15.7
Teleop102.8
End7.5
blue by 8.5
5924
#10
132.21.6
122.4→123.9
Auto16.9
Teleop101.4
End16.3
Third
256
#57
101.32.7
102.3→105.0
Auto15.4
Teleop77.9
End9.5
blue by 13.3
4973
#31
114.60.9
113.6→112.7
Auto17.7
Teleop88.0
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed