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Qual 42018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red435
4255125.5
668150.4
6303106.3
Blue242
7317118.7
6619118.7
688499.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287257100150200350400435242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#11
150.41.2
130.5→131.7
Auto24.4
Teleop115.3
End11.3
red by 31.7
6619
#52
118.71.4
111.7→113.1
Auto15.9
Teleop90.6
End12.6
Second
4255
#28
125.515.3
80.7→96.0
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End16.0
red by 6.7
7317
#38
118.72.2
112.5→114.7
Auto16.3
Teleop94.0
End6.9
Third
6303
#47
106.31.4
101.0→102.4
Auto16.4
Teleop83.6
End9.3
red by 6.5
6884
#58
99.922.1
99.9→77.7
Auto16.6
Teleop74.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed