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Qual 442018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red241
6410107.4
2367118.0
6665113.4
Blue314
6039106.1
581128.6
6303106.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623080100200400500600700241314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2367
#43
118.01.0
118.9→117.9
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End11.4
blue by 10.5
581
#51
128.61.8
127.7→129.5
Auto16.8
Teleop97.1
End16.5
Second
6665
#53
113.40.1
117.3→117.2
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End7.9
red by 7.1
6303
#47
106.30.7
106.1→106.8
Auto16.4
Teleop83.6
End9.3
Third
6410
#42
107.40.3
105.3→104.9
Auto16.0
Teleop82.9
End7.6
red by 1.3
6039
#44
106.11.1
111.1→110.0
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed