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Red397
254244.8
6883128.1
170099.6
Blue213
604172.5
2643134.0
253101.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375264100200300500600700800397213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
244.82.9
225.8228.7
Auto28.4
Teleop167.9
End52.0
red by 72.3
604
#15
172.51.4
165.0166.4
Auto17.4
Teleop138.9
End17.0
Second
6883
#23
128.15.6
107.0112.6
Auto13.8
Teleop93.3
End23.2
blue by 5.9
2643
#26
134.01.1
131.7132.8
Auto17.0
Teleop100.3
End18.5
Third
1700
#37
99.60.7
102.4101.7
Auto15.4
Teleop76.0
End6.5
blue by 1.8
253
#46
101.40.6
97.798.4
Auto14.7
Teleop77.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
52%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed