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Qual 492018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red272
7245111.3
4990145.0
4904149.1
Blue193
2035121.4
1868139.0
6238119.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309296200250350400450272193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#8
149.11.3
142.0→143.3
Auto18.7
Teleop114.4
End14.5
red by 10.0
1868
#33
139.01.0
137.5→138.4
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End9.3
Second
4990
#6
145.04.2
128.9→133.1
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End19.0
red by 23.7
2035
#19
121.40.2
121.9→122.0
Auto18.4
Teleop94.9
End8.3
Third
7245
#34
111.33.5
101.6→105.1
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End13.5
blue by 7.7
6238
#27
119.02.0
113.0→115.0
Auto18.3
Teleop90.2
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed