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Red70
2473121.4
502794.5
581128.6
Blue334
253101.4
4171125.0
7317118.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326245010020040050060070070334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#51
128.60.8
129.5130.3
Auto16.8
Teleop97.1
End16.5
red by 3.5
4171
#41
125.00.3
123.6123.3
Auto16.4
Teleop96.1
End13.1
Second
2473
#45
121.42.4
124.9127.3
Auto15.9
Teleop92.2
End16.4
red by 2.7
7317
#38
118.70.9
119.5118.6
Auto16.3
Teleop94.0
End6.9
Third
5027
#54
94.50.8
96.397.1
Auto14.1
Teleop75.4
End5.9
blue by 7.0
253
#46
101.40.3
98.498.7
Auto14.7
Teleop77.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed