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Red375
6303106.3
670169.3
3132146.6
Blue400
1868139.0
7245111.3
4669121.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3602620100200300400500600375400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#7
169.31.1
164.5165.6
Auto23.2
Teleop125.2
End22.3
red by 30.2
1868
#33
139.01.1
138.5137.4
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End9.3
Second
3132
#39
146.60.3
146.1145.8
Auto19.4
Teleop95.5
End34.3
red by 25.4
4669
#14
121.32.1
114.8117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop90.8
End18.1
Third
6303
#47
106.30.4
106.7106.3
Auto16.4
Teleop83.6
End9.3
blue by 5.0
7245
#34
111.31.0
107.6108.5
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed