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Qual 712018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red486
254244.8
2813115.7
4159136.9
Blue158
6619118.7
6303106.3
1072154.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424204100300500600700486158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
244.83.2
234.4→237.5
Auto28.4
Teleop167.9
End52.0
red by 89.9
1072
#18
154.80.7
152.6→153.4
Auto22.7
Teleop121.3
End11.5
Second
4159
#25
136.90.8
132.8→133.6
Auto17.8
Teleop108.3
End13.5
red by 18.1
6619
#52
118.70.8
117.6→118.4
Auto15.9
Teleop90.6
End12.6
Third
2813
#50
115.70.9
113.6→114.4
Auto17.3
Teleop83.0
End18.1
red by 9.4
6303
#47
106.30.2
106.3→106.4
Auto16.4
Teleop83.6
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
61%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed