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Red348
4171125.0
2367118.0
1868139.0
Blue135
4973114.6
1351121.4
6814100.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2892750100200400500600348135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#33
139.00.4
137.4137.0
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End9.3
red by 17.6
1351
#48
121.40.3
121.7122.0
Auto17.5
Teleop96.5
End7.8
Second
4171
#41
125.00.2
123.9124.1
Auto16.4
Teleop96.1
End13.1
red by 10.4
4973
#31
114.61.0
113.6114.6
Auto17.7
Teleop88.0
End10.4
Third
2367
#43
118.00.7
116.7116.0
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End11.4
red by 17.7
6814
#59
100.40.9
102.7101.8
Auto16.1
Teleop77.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed