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Red300
1072154.8
841109.7
4973114.6
Blue223
670169.3
2135141.0
6883128.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813340100200400500600300223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#18
154.80.6
146.7147.3
Auto22.7
Teleop121.3
End11.5
blue by 14.4
670
#7
169.31.1
155.4156.5
Auto23.2
Teleop125.2
End22.3
Second
4973
#31
114.61.6
110.2111.8
Auto17.7
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 26.4
2135
#13
141.02.5
128.1130.5
Auto20.4
Teleop98.3
End21.9
Third
841
#55
109.72.1
107.0109.1
Auto16.0
Teleop88.3
End5.7
blue by 18.4
6883
#23
128.150.4
128.177.7
Auto13.8
Teleop93.3
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed