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Qual 812018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red324
4186116.5
4973114.6
5171134.6
Blue462
4669121.3
852126.8
1072154.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262343100200300400500324462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#49
134.65.2
129.3→134.6
Auto19.6
Teleop99.0
End22.4
blue by 20.3
1072
#18
154.80.3
153.4→153.7
Auto22.7
Teleop121.3
End11.5
Second
4186
#36
116.50.8
117.3→116.5
Auto15.6
Teleop87.4
End13.6
blue by 10.4
852
#30
126.80.0
126.9→126.8
Auto15.1
Teleop98.9
End12.9
Third
4973
#31
114.60.0
114.6→114.6
Auto17.7
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 6.6
4669
#14
121.32.0
119.2→121.3
Auto17.1
Teleop90.8
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed