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Red398
2643134.0
6418162.7
5499160.6
Blue255
581128.6
4990145.0
3132146.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3982730100200500600700398255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.71.5
159.4160.9
Auto21.1
Teleop120.3
End20.3
red by 16.1
3132
#39
146.60.3
146.2146.5
Auto19.4
Teleop95.5
End34.3
Second
160.61.0
158.3159.3
Auto22.3
Teleop120.7
End16.8
red by 15.6
145.01.7
142.6144.2
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End19.0
Third
2643
#26
134.00.1
134.0134.0
Auto17.0
Teleop100.3
End18.5
red by 5.5
581
#51
128.60.3
128.8128.6
Auto16.8
Teleop97.1
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsEarned