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Red249
1351121.4
3482138.5
502794.5
Blue398
6303106.3
5924132.2
604172.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239347100200300400500249398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#29
138.51.1
136.8137.8
Auto18.5
Teleop109.4
End10.2
blue by 34.0
604
#15
172.51.0
169.1170.1
Auto17.4
Teleop138.9
End17.0
Second
1351
#48
121.40.6
122.0121.4
Auto17.5
Teleop96.5
End7.8
blue by 10.8
5924
#10
132.21.2
129.7131.0
Auto16.9
Teleop101.4
End16.3
Third
5027
#54
94.50.4
94.994.5
Auto14.1
Teleop75.4
End5.9
blue by 11.9
6303
#47
106.30.1
106.4106.3
Auto16.4
Teleop83.6
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed