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Red372
968163.1
5199162.8
580134.3
Blue306
5818179.6
3512180.3
5515127.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316365100200400500600700372306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#4
163.10.8
160.9161.6
Auto24.6
Teleop125.1
End14.8
blue by 17.2
180.30.5
179.0179.4
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
Second
162.80.7
160.8161.5
Auto22.6
Teleop114.7
End27.6
blue by 16.8
179.60.5
178.3178.7
Auto22.2
Teleop138.0
End22.9
Third
580
#34
134.30.1
133.8134.0
Auto16.3
Teleop95.2
End23.2
red by 6.9
5515
#22
127.40.3
126.6126.9
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3