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Qual 112018 Ventura Regional
Red90
567898.4
6398121.7
5136119.2
Blue412
3328153.3
5199162.8
6934127.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27228710015020025035040045090412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6398
#27
121.712.3
78.4→90.7
Auto13.1
Teleop91.4
End18.0
blue by 41.1
5199
#1
162.82.0
119.7→121.7
Auto22.6
Teleop114.7
End27.6
Second
5136
#24
119.211.1
91.3→102.4
Auto15.5
Teleop83.2
End25.8
blue by 34.1
3328
#6
153.33.6
117.1→120.6
Auto18.6
Teleop117.3
End20.4
Third
5678
#29
98.411.1
86.3→97.4
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End8.4
blue by 29.4
6934
#9
127.810.8
77.7→88.6
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed