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Qual 302018 Ventura Regional
Red223
589117.0
691130.7
567898.4
Blue292
6668119.7
1572165.0
5669124.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573140100200400500600223292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
#13
130.70.9
122.1→123.0
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
blue by 34.2
1572
#3
165.01.0
154.5→153.5
Auto21.6
Teleop126.5
End21.1
Second
589
#26
117.01.0
112.4→113.4
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
blue by 7.5
5669
#11
124.51.9
115.9→117.8
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
Third
5678
#29
98.41.0
104.4→105.4
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End8.4
blue by 21.3
6668
#14
119.70.3
118.4→118.7
Auto17.4
Teleop90.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed