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Qual 392018 Ventura Regional
Red261
732496.1
4501102.6
4913116.5
Blue161
114117.4
567898.4
4711138.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123340100300400500600261161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4913
#33
116.50.0
119.6→119.6
Auto19.3
Teleop89.0
End8.8
blue by 21.5
4711
#10
138.01.5
129.2→130.7
Auto18.4
Teleop104.3
End19.6
Second
4501
#39
102.60.8
106.6→105.8
Auto16.6
Teleop75.8
End10.1
blue by 14.7
114
#16
117.43.2
126.4→129.7
Auto14.7
Teleop98.5
End5.6
Third
7324
#40
96.11.3
103.2→101.9
Auto15.0
Teleop77.4
End5.3
blue by 2.4
5678
#29
98.40.9
105.4→104.4
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed