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Qual 492018 Ventura Regional
Red350
691130.7
3120118.2
5669124.5
Blue290
580134.3
6934127.8
4078128.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653150100200400500600700800350290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
#13
130.70.0
123.1→123.1
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
blue by 3.5
580
#34
134.30.5
132.8→133.3
Auto16.3
Teleop95.2
End23.2
Second
5669
#11
124.50.9
119.1→119.9
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
blue by 4.4
4078
#23
128.94.7
113.6→118.2
Auto16.4
Teleop88.1
End29.0
Third
3120
#21
118.22.5
105.6→108.2
Auto16.6
Teleop88.9
End13.8
blue by 9.7
6934
#9
127.83.6
116.9→120.5
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed