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Red296
6764104.4
4078128.9
5199162.8
Blue298
3851115.2
2486168.0
6417129.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523700100200300400500600296298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.84.1
139.6143.7
Auto22.6
Teleop114.7
End27.6
blue by 5.1
168.02.1
164.0166.0
Auto27.1
Teleop119.6
End22.3
Second
4078
#23
128.92.1
118.2120.3
Auto16.4
Teleop88.1
End29.0
blue by 0.6
6417
#15
129.63.2
122.4125.6
Auto16.6
Teleop101.3
End11.2
Third
6764
#37
104.42.1
90.492.5
Auto13.1
Teleop81.7
End11.4
blue by 10.8
3851
#28
115.21.8
116.2118.0
Auto16.1
Teleop85.8
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed