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Qual 712018 Ventura Regional
Red216
6560128.1
114117.4
4501102.6
Blue394
5669124.5
6764104.4
3925130.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274299100150200250350400450216394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#30
128.10.1
127.6→127.7
Auto17.9
Teleop100.6
End11.5
blue by 2.5
3925
#17
130.52.2
123.9→126.1
Auto17.3
Teleop99.2
End16.7
Second
114
#16
117.40.9
117.9→117.1
Auto14.7
Teleop98.5
End5.6
blue by 7.1
5669
#11
124.50.8
121.4→122.2
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
Third
4501
#39
102.60.1
102.6→102.5
Auto16.6
Teleop75.8
End10.1
blue by 1.7
6764
#37
104.43.5
97.6→101.1
Auto13.1
Teleop81.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed