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Red358
6967102.0
6668119.7
3512180.3
Blue237
3863147.0
7326119.8
732496.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162690100200400500600700800358237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.30.7
176.4177.1
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
red by 33.3
3863
#12
147.01.2
144.7145.9
Auto15.5
Teleop115.7
End15.9
Second
6668
#14
119.71.3
117.1118.4
Auto17.4
Teleop90.9
End17.9
blue by 0.1
7326
#31
119.80.3
119.5119.8
Auto12.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
Third
6967
#35
102.02.0
104.0102.0
Auto13.9
Teleop78.4
End9.2
red by 5.9
7324
#40
96.10.2
95.896.1
Auto15.0
Teleop77.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed