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Qual 812018 Ventura Regional
Red382
968163.1
5102109.1
5669124.5
Blue212
4913116.5
6560128.1
4578111.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356247100200300400500600382212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#4
163.12.5
155.2→157.7
Auto24.6
Teleop125.1
End14.8
red by 35.0
6560
#30
128.10.2
127.7→127.9
Auto17.9
Teleop100.6
End11.5
Second
5669
#11
124.51.3
122.2→123.5
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
red by 8.0
4913
#33
116.51.4
118.5→117.1
Auto19.3
Teleop89.0
End8.8
Third
5102
#36
109.10.9
108.2→109.1
Auto13.2
Teleop85.4
End8.8
blue by 2.0
4578
#20
111.11.7
109.4→111.1
Auto14.3
Teleop82.8
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed