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Red390
5818179.6
3512180.3
5515127.4
Blue275
1266131.6
1572165.0
114117.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377262100200300500600390275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.30.5
178.5179.0
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
red by 15.4
165.00.8
164.2165.0
Auto21.6
Teleop126.5
End21.1
Second
179.60.5
177.8178.3
Auto22.2
Teleop138.0
End22.9
red by 48.0
131.60.5
131.1131.6
Auto18.6
Teleop104.0
End12.0
Third
5515
#22
127.40.3
126.3126.6
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
red by 10.0
114
#16
117.40.3
117.1117.4
Auto14.7
Teleop98.5
End5.6