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Red275
1678252.2
254237.3
649161.3
Blue352
1323214.2
3310227.0
2659163.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4273000100200500600700275352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
252.20.0
252.4252.4
Auto25.9
Teleop180.5
End41.5
red by 25.2
227.00.3
227.6227.3
Auto22.1
Teleop174.6
End28.6
Second
254
#3
237.30.1
237.6237.5
Auto25.5
Teleop171.3
End35.6
red by 23.1
214.20.4
214.9214.5
Auto24.2
Teleop163.9
End23.2
Third
649
#34
161.30.2
161.9161.7
Auto20.6
Teleop133.3
End2.4
blue by 2.4
2659
#36
163.70.4
164.4164.0
Auto24.4
Teleop123.1
End12.9