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Red474
1678252.2
1983182.3
5012159.4
Blue185
1072147.2
5026154.0
3647159.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4622560100200300400600700800474185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
252.20.9
251.7250.9
Auto25.9
Teleop180.5
End41.5
red by 92.4
3647
#35
159.80.5
164.1164.6
Auto15.2
Teleop115.3
End32.2
Second
1983
#14
182.30.9
179.6180.6
Auto21.3
Teleop140.1
End21.3
red by 28.2
5026
#42
154.00.2
164.7164.5
Auto20.8
Teleop119.6
End10.1
Third
5012
#31
159.40.5
159.6160.1
Auto20.1
Teleop121.5
End17.2
red by 12.2
1072
#15
147.20.2
149.6149.4
Auto19.7
Teleop114.9
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
95%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsMissed