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Red396
846175.9
2659163.7
4488191.2
Blue319
604170.2
2990174.9
3512196.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3433630200600800396319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#19
191.21.1
198.1197.0
Auto22.3
Teleop137.0
End30.4
blue by 5.6
196.80.5
192.4192.9
Auto19.4
Teleop141.8
End36.6
Second
846
#16
175.90.1
173.5173.4
Auto23.7
Teleop137.3
End16.8
red by 1.1
2990
#22
174.90.0
175.2175.2
Auto26.5
Teleop136.1
End16.0
Third
2659
#36
163.71.0
171.0170.1
Auto24.4
Teleop123.1
End12.9
blue by 6.6
604
#37
170.20.9
170.0169.1
Auto17.7
Teleop137.5
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsEarned