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Red287
4183155.3
3647159.8
968170.6
Blue328
4159143.7
8160.8
649161.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342317100200400500287328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#23
170.60.3
170.9170.6
Auto21.6
Teleop132.1
End16.4
red by 9.3
649
#34
161.31.4
165.6164.2
Auto20.6
Teleop133.3
End2.4
Second
3647
#35
159.81.0
163.5162.5
Auto15.2
Teleop115.3
End32.2
blue by 1.0
8
#18
160.81.1
162.1161.0
Auto22.2
Teleop126.7
End14.6
Third
4183
#39
155.30.7
160.8160.1
Auto23.9
Teleop116.3
End15.0
red by 11.6
4159
#40
143.70.7
145.5144.8
Auto18.5
Teleop112.3
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed