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Red307
1538186.1
3310227.0
2990174.9
Blue387
4911192.4
1323214.2
604170.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361340150200250300400450307387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
227.00.2
227.5227.7
Auto22.1
Teleop174.6
End28.6
red by 12.8
214.23.2
224.3221.1
Auto24.2
Teleop163.9
End23.2
Second
1538
#38
186.11.2
191.2190.0
Auto18.5
Teleop147.0
End22.0
blue by 6.3
192.40.7
188.8189.4
Auto20.0
Teleop142.4
End30.1
Third
2990
#22
174.90.8
175.8175.0
Auto26.5
Teleop136.1
End16.0
red by 4.6
604
#37
170.20.2
169.2168.9
Auto17.7
Teleop137.5
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsMissed47%Face the Boss oddsMissed