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Red281
5818175.9
4911192.4
1538186.1
Blue445
3512196.8
649161.3
2471192.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336343150200250300400450281445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.40.9
189.4190.3
Auto20.0
Teleop142.4
End30.1
blue by 4.5
196.80.4
196.0196.5
Auto19.4
Teleop141.8
End36.6
Second
1538
#38
186.11.1
190.0188.9
Auto18.5
Teleop147.0
End22.0
blue by 6.3
192.31.2
195.1193.9
Auto21.7
Teleop146.0
End19.7
Third
5818
#33
175.91.7
181.9180.2
Auto22.4
Teleop135.6
End14.9
red by 14.6
649
#34
161.30.5
163.5163.0
Auto20.6
Teleop133.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsEarned65%Face the Boss oddsMissed