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Red150
846175.9
2557180.9
5499141.9
Blue449
973188.9
2659163.7
1678252.2
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2624480100200300400500600700800150449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#20
180.90.9
182.3181.4
Auto20.3
Teleop136.4
End22.3
blue by 71.3
252.20.6
251.6252.2
Auto25.9
Teleop180.5
End41.5
Second
846
#16
175.90.7
175.5176.2
Auto23.7
Teleop137.3
End16.8
blue by 13.0
973
#10
188.90.5
187.8188.3
Auto24.6
Teleop132.6
End32.1
Third
5499
#32
141.90.4
141.6142.0
Auto17.5
Teleop112.2
End12.1
blue by 21.8
2659
#36
163.70.8
166.7166.0
Auto24.4
Teleop123.1
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed97%Face the Boss oddsEarned