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Red436
1885167.6
384177.6
422161.8
Blue221
401150.5
5804156.6
2537167.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376324100200500600700436221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#10
177.60.5
176.6177.1
Auto17.1
Teleop136.8
End25.8
red by 10.0
2537
#41
167.70.3
167.3167.5
Auto22.4
Teleop126.7
End16.9
Second
1885
#15
167.60.0
167.5167.5
Auto16.7
Teleop128.9
End24.3
red by 11.0
156.60.4
155.9156.3
Auto20.1
Teleop117.9
End16.2
Third
422
#11
161.80.3
161.1161.4
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End17.6
red by 11.3
401
#30
150.50.3
150.0150.3
Auto22.3
Teleop110.1
End17.8