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Red274
346168.1
1262189.0
1610154.9
Blue315
4541169.2
888174.4
614152.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36832702006008001,0001,2001,4001,600274315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.00.1
188.8189.0
Auto22.7
Teleop132.9
End36.4
red by 14.5
888
#8
174.40.1
174.2174.3
Auto19.8
Teleop120.1
End32.4
Second
346
#9
168.10.1
168.2168.1
Auto22.4
Teleop115.9
End31.1
blue by 1.1
4541
#33
169.20.0
169.3169.3
Auto20.6
Teleop130.5
End17.4
Third
1610
#52
154.90.5
155.4154.9
Auto19.9
Teleop118.0
End15.7
red by 2.2
614
#14
152.80.1
153.0152.9
Auto19.5
Teleop117.8
End12.6