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Red366
540148.6
1731189.4
1885167.6
Blue278
2106150.9
1418173.9
2028141.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385322100200500600700366278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.41.1
187.6188.7
Auto22.3
Teleop143.7
End25.2
red by 15.5
1418
#29
173.90.9
172.6173.5
Auto21.4
Teleop127.5
End26.9
Second
1885
#15
167.60.7
168.5167.8
Auto16.7
Teleop128.9
End24.3
red by 16.7
2106
#25
150.90.0
150.8150.9
Auto19.0
Teleop111.3
End18.4
Third
540
#16
148.60.4
148.2148.6
Auto16.9
Teleop108.3
End26.0
red by 7.1
2028
#40
141.50.2
141.7141.5
Auto16.6
Teleop105.8
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned28%Face the Boss oddsMissed