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Red306
2890137.0
2377169.8
612165.5
Blue421
5804156.6
888174.4
1418173.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335360100200300400500600700306421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#38
169.81.5
180.9179.4
Auto19.1
Teleop122.8
End29.7
blue by 4.6
888
#8
174.40.6
167.3167.9
Auto19.8
Teleop120.1
End32.4
Second
612
#18
165.51.3
154.1155.4
Auto21.4
Teleop130.4
End14.4
blue by 8.4
1418
#29
173.91.8
176.3174.5
Auto21.4
Teleop127.5
End26.9
Third
2890
#22
137.00.6
137.9137.3
Auto19.1
Teleop100.7
End15.3
blue by 19.6
156.60.7
148.3149.0
Auto20.1
Teleop117.9
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned