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Red351
346168.1
2106150.9
2363166.9
Blue250
3136134.5
5243129.9
4456117.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425230100300500600700351250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
168.11.4
172.5171.1
Auto22.4
Teleop115.9
End31.1
red by 33.6
3136
#53
134.50.7
128.5129.2
Auto17.7
Teleop92.8
End21.8
Second
2363
#19
166.90.0
171.5171.5
Auto22.4
Teleop130.1
End14.7
red by 37.0
5243
#56
129.90.3
131.5131.8
Auto19.1
Teleop101.7
End8.8
Third
2106
#25
150.90.0
155.3155.4
Auto19.0
Teleop111.3
End18.4
red by 33.4
4456
#51
117.50.1
119.9120.0
Auto17.9
Teleop87.7
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed