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Red229
422161.8
2106150.9
1629211.7
Blue398
5546183.9
888174.4
401150.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412317100200500600229398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.71.0
205.8206.8
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
red by 27.8
183.90.9
176.7177.6
Auto19.9
Teleop135.7
End28.3
Second
422
#11
161.80.7
157.4158.1
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End17.6
blue by 12.6
888
#8
174.41.1
167.9169.0
Auto19.8
Teleop120.1
End32.4
Third
2106
#25
150.90.3
155.4155.0
Auto19.0
Teleop111.3
End18.4
red by 0.4
401
#30
150.50.6
142.5141.9
Auto22.3
Teleop110.1
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned