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Red281
2106150.9
5724145.4
4242147.8
Blue321
2534156.6
5338170.2
614152.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313385100200500281321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#25
150.91.2
155.0153.8
Auto19.0
Teleop111.3
End18.4
blue by 19.3
5338
#46
170.20.1
177.5177.4
Auto18.9
Teleop129.1
End18.8
Second
4242
#43
147.80.3
148.0147.7
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
blue by 8.9
2534
#31
156.60.5
160.6161.0
Auto19.0
Teleop116.3
End21.4
Third
5724
#50
145.40.4
149.7149.3
Auto17.7
Teleop108.1
End18.8
blue by 7.4
614
#14
152.80.0
156.3156.3
Auto19.5
Teleop117.8
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed